全国英语等级考试pets5级阅读真题预测.pdf
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1、欢迎您阅读并下载本文档,本文档来源于互联网,如有侵权请联系删除!我们将竭诚为您提供优质的文档!全国英语等级考试 pets5 级阅读真题预测 2016 全国英语等级考试pets5 级阅读真题预测 Part B In the following article some paragraphs have been removed.For Questions 66 70,choose the most suitable paragraph from the list A-F to fit into each of the numbered gaps.There is one paragraph whi
2、ch does not fit in any of the gaps.Mark your answers on ANSWER SHEET 1.The press is constantly reminding us that the dramatic increase in the age of our population over the next 30 or so years will cause national healthcare systems to collapse,economies to crumple under the strain of pension de-mand
3、s and disintegrating families to buckle under increasing care commitments.Yet research at Oxford is beginning to expose some of the widespread myths that underlie this rhetoric.Demographic ageing is undoubtedly a reality.Life expectancy in developed counties has risen continuously over the past cent
4、ury,increasing the percentage of those over the age of 60 relative to those under the age of 15.By 2030 half the population of Western Europe will be over the age of 50,with a predicted average life expectancy of a further 40 years.By then,a quarter of the popula-tion will be over 65 and by 2050 the
5、 UK s current number of 10,000 centenarians are predicted to have reached a quarter of a million.Some demographers have even suggested that half of all baby girls born in the West today will live to see the next century.Indeed,if this could be achieved throughout the world,it would surely count as t
6、he success of civilization,for then we would also have conquered the killers of poverty,disease,famine and war.Decreasing mortality rates,increasing longevity and declining fertility mean smaller percentages of young people within populations.Over the past 20 years life expectancy at birth in the UK
7、 has risen by four years for men(to 75)and three years for women(to 80).Meanwhile fertility rates across Europe have declined more or less continuously over the past 40 years and remain well below the levels 欢迎您阅读并下载本文档,本文档来源于互联网,如有侵权请联系删除!我们将竭诚为您提供优质的文档!required for European populations to be able
8、to replace them-selves without substantive immigration.But again,rather than seeing this as a doom and gloom scenario,we need to explore the positive aspects of these demographics.The next 50 years should provide us with an opportunity to enjoy the many advanta,es of a society with a mature oooulati
9、cn structure.The first of these is the current political rhetoric which claims that health services across the Western world are collapsing under the strain of demographic ageing.The second myth is the view that the ratio of workers to non-workers will become so acute that Western econo-mies will co
10、llapse,compounded by a massive growth in pension debt.While there are undoubted concerns over cur-rent pension shortfalls,it is also clear that working lives will themselves change over the next few decades,with a predicted increase in flexible and part-time work and the probable extension of workin
11、g life until the age of 70.In-deed,we have to recognize that we cannot expect to retire at the age of 50 and then be able to support ourselves for another 40 or so years.Neither a solid pension scheme nor savings can carry people that long.A further myth is that we will all live in loose,multigenera
12、tional families,experiencing increased emotional distancing from our kin.Evidence from a variety of studies across the developed world suggests that,if anything,the modern family is actually becoming more close-knit.Work carried out by the Oxford Institute in Scandinavia and in a Pan-European Family
13、 Care Study,for example,shows that despite the influence of the welfare state,over the past 10 yearn,people have come to value family relationships more than previously.In the developed world,therefore,we can see actual benefits from population ageing:a better balance between age groups,mature and l
14、ess volatile societies,with an emphasis on age integration.The issues will be very different in other parts of the world.Herein lies another myth:that the less developed world will escape from demographic ageing.Instead,the mas-sive increase in the age of populations facing these countries-predicted
15、 to be up to one billion older people within 30 years-is potentially devastating.The problem is not only that demographic ageing is occurring at a far greater pace than we have seen in Western nations,but also that few if any developing 欢迎您阅读并下载本文档,本文档来源于互联网,如有侵权请联系删除!我们将竭诚为您提供优质的文档!countries have t
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